Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.020749 0.022430 0.024182 0.026146 0.028287 0.030552 0.033132
2025-09-21 0.017716 0.020106 0.022733 0.025841 0.029424 0.033433 0.038270
2025-09-28 0.015942 0.018757 0.021976 0.025940 0.030706 0.036274 0.043298
2025-10-05 0.014534 0.017602 0.021222 0.025830 0.031566 0.038505 0.047590
2025-10-12 0.013521 0.016786 0.020745 0.025929 0.032579 0.040875 0.052094
2025-10-19 0.012679 0.016088 0.020324 0.026011 0.033502 0.043112 0.056496
2025-10-26 0.011889 0.015383 0.019820 0.025913 0.034137 0.044954 0.060430
2025-11-02 0.011245 0.014814 0.019437 0.025920 0.034870 0.046922 0.064605
2025-11-09 0.010528 0.014097 0.018803 0.025530 0.035009 0.048051 0.067633
2025-11-16 0.009854 0.013393 0.018138 0.025043 0.034959 0.048878 0.070238
2025-11-23 0.009358 0.012904 0.017734 0.024884 0.035344 0.050317 0.073786
2025-11-30 0.008910 0.012453 0.017355 0.024728 0.035707 0.051718 0.077330
2025-12-07 0.008476 0.012016 0.016993 0.024608 0.036159 0.053341 0.081426
2025-12-14 0.008018 0.011524 0.016527 0.024309 0.036329 0.054551 0.084973
2025-12-21 0.007708 0.011229 0.016332 0.024399 0.037085 0.056692 0.090128
2025-12-28 0.007371 0.010875 0.016026 0.024297 0.037525 0.058344 0.094573
2026-01-04 0.007110 0.010622 0.015856 0.024389 0.038268 0.060509 0.099996
2026-01-11 0.006864 0.010377 0.015685 0.024465 0.038979 0.062647 0.105499
2026-01-18 0.006596 0.010084 0.015421 0.024374 0.039401 0.064318 0.110280
2026-01-25 0.006368 0.009843 0.015227 0.024381 0.039980 0.066274 0.115681
2026-02-01 0.006073 0.009481 0.014822 0.024016 0.039902 0.067086 0.119043
2026-02-08 0.005777 0.009106 0.014378 0.023560 0.039638 0.067548 0.121771
2026-02-15 0.005563 0.008854 0.014123 0.023412 0.039898 0.068946 0.126337